Thanks in part to the Turkish government’s slow start to aid after the February earthquakes, Erdogan is in a bad position, according to Cats. Furthermore, skyrocketing inflation and the dire economic situation have dented its popularity. “It may very well be that he uses the situation with Sweden and Finland to gain popularity,” says Cats.
“Erdogan can use the situation with Sweden and Finland to gain popularity among his voters”
‘The Netherlands has been the scapegoat in previous elections. There, a row over Turkish politicians eventually won him many voters. It turns out to be a method that works well with its people.’
It does not seem plausible to Cats whether Turkey will accept membership before the elections. The talks should be seen as part of a longer process. This even raises the question of whether Finland should be given priority due to its vulnerable position. “Constructive talks are a good sign, but we’re not there yet.”