Both the Russian and Ukrainian militaries are severely constrained by logistical challenges. That says former army commander Mart de Kruif. Weapons, and especially their stockpiles, are currently the most burdensome files for both countries. That won’t change in 2023. However, De Kruif fears it will be a protracted war.
“Russia itself can produce quite a lot, especially grenades and somewhat simpler missiles,” says De Kruif, who points out that Putin can relatively easily convert the Russian economy into a 24-hour war economy by decree. It doesn’t matter that he depends on foreign countries for superior technology. “He needs stuff that contains microchips, that’s why he depends on North Korea and Iran.”
In addition to the chip shortage, Russians also suffer from a shortage of raw materials such as metals, lithium and cobalt, resources that are also scarce on the world market.
Patriot
However, there are problems on the other side of the front line as well. It is true that Ukraine is equipped with modern Western weapons, which are expensive, and the Ukrainian military needs to be trained to use weapons systems. “Rockets and grenades in particular are expensive. A Patriot missile costs a million each.” De Kruif also points out that for many weapon systems, complete production lines must be set up.
the logistics
According to the former commander, both sides are grappling with the availability of spare parts. “It’s really a logistical challenge, both forces are constrained by logistics. The United States is trying to overcome overly expensive and scarce weapons systems by offering Ukraine other systems. Like HIMARS which have a longer range. “The problem is that Russia sees it as a direct threat.”
War economy
For now, the United States is unlikely to transition to a war economy. According to Hammelburg, this will not make Biden popular, after all, the standard of living in the United States must be maintained. De Kruif is gloomy for 2023, predicts that the war will last a long time; Putin cannot give up, he will use everything he has. Even Zelensky won’t give up as long as there are Russians on Ukrainian soil.’
According to the former commander, a political solution is needed, but it will be difficult because both sides still have a lot to gain. Further complication: ‘Putin wants to talk to Biden, not Zelensky’.
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Source: BNR
Sharon Rock is an author and journalist who writes for 24 News Globe. She has a passion for learning about different cultures and understanding the complexities of the world. With a talent for explaining complex global issues in an accessible and engaging way, Sharon has become a respected voice in the field of world news journalism.
