Chinese Growth Disappoints, ‘Economists Expected Explosion’ Related articles

Taking into account the circumstances, such as a very weak corona year in 2021, the growth of China’s economy lags significantly at 6.3%. “With the lockdowns behind us, economists thought the economy would grow again much faster,” says BNR economist Han de Jong. “But that didn’t happen.”

6.3% growth may sound strong. And in a country like Holland it would be. However, the Chinese figure is disappointing. “Especially because compared to the second quarter of last year,” says De Jong, “when the Chinese economy contracted.”

But even if the growth is compared to the previous quarter, it’s far from impressive. The world’s second largest economy is now 0.8% larger than the previous quarter. This is also very little by Chinese standards.

Youth unemployment is growing

Economists’ expectations were much higher. “After the lockdowns ended last year, everyone thought a burst of growth would follow,” says De Jong. ‘Growth that has been much higher than in previous years. But it didn’t happen.’

“After last year’s lockdowns ended, everyone thought a burst of growth would follow. But it didn’t happen.’ (PNA/SIPA United States)

The economist is particularly concerned about the growing youth unemployment in the country. ‘For 16-24 year olds, this has now risen to 21.3 per cent. Earlier this year it was just 17 percent and in 2021 it will be 13 percent. This is a growing problem and also risks becoming a serious social problem.

Positive and negative consequences for the Netherlands

For the Netherlands, the disappointing figures are one mixed bagDe Jong says. “Germany is a major exporter to China and many Dutch companies are suppliers to these companies.” In this way it comes to us. “On the other hand, the slowdown in the Chinese economy is leading to a decline in commodity prices on the global market,” says De Jong. “That puts pressure on inflation for us, and that in turn is good.”

Author: Samuel Hangreefs
Source: BNR

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