According to De Kruif, therefore, an offensive is ‘always difficult, always slow’. Furthermore, it is not clear where and when the ‘warhead’ of the Ukrainian offensive will arrive. “You don’t really go fast in this phase, even if you don’t have the enemy under command.” In conversation with the BBC, Zelensky compares it to Hollywood movies, where quick results are expected.
Sky
Another factor is that the Russian military is much larger than the Ukrainian military in terms of numbers. ‘They have a huge amount of artillery and tanks and they’ve been able to set up and dig in for defense, you really can’t get over it like that. Especially if you don’t have air superiority.’
An offensive requires planning on the one hand and patience on the other, the former general believes. “You must strike when you are sure of success. That stage hasn’t arrived yet.’
Live Blog | Day 483 of the war in Ukraine
Zaporizhia
Despite Zelensky’s statements and less media coverage, there is still a lot of military activity. “There’s a lot of fighting,” De Kruif points out. Both sides are launching counterattacks as Ukraine continues to gain ground near Zaporizhia. “This is a very intense fight that will continue for at least a few weeks. Make no mistake about that.’
“This is a very intense fight that will last at least a few weeks”
Recently there has been talk of a possible pause in the offensive. That word has a different meaning in military circles, De Kruif points out. “A break doesn’t mean we’re going to grab our lunchbox for a bite to eat.” A break means a slower pace and is also a time to take turns units.’
Head shot
When the main thrust of the offensive begins, according to De Kruif it remains a surprise. “That’s all they need.” It is clear that there are still many units available. “We know that the main thrust is only underway when Western weapons, tanks and armored vehicles are also deployed.”