Electoral analysis of May 14 in the British The Guardian: It will not be what some expect
The British newspaper The Guardian published a remarkable analysis ahead of the presidential and parliamentary elections on May 14.
The newspaper’s diplomacy editor, Patrick Wintour, wrote in the article: “The elections in Turkey will not bring about the geopolitical change as some had hoped.” In the analysis, “Those who hope this election will be remembered as the election in which Putin lost Turkey may be in for a bitter awakening. Except for the US presidential election, few elections are so closely watched in modern times due to their geopolitical implications. While this situation reminds of Turkey’s importance between the east and the west globally, it also reveals the tide between democracy and the oppressive populist regime.
It was pointed out that the difference between Erdogan and Kılıçdaroğlu is style, tone and predictability, commenting: “Tone is important in diplomacy and Western countries may prefer this period instead of an aggressive attitude.”
Stating that if Kılıçdaroğlu becomes president, Sweden can approve NATO membership and therefore Sweden can participate in the NATO Summit in Vilnius as a member state, the Guardian columnist said: “NATO also will welcome the restoration of the prestige of Turkish foreign relations. ministry. Western diplomats may be less exposed to Erdogan’s sudden bargaining tactics. An institutionalized foreign policy would be more fluid,” he said.
The British media evaluated the electoral career of Erdoğan and Kılıçdaroğlu.
He specified that there is also uncertainty, except for some promises from Alianza Nación. Stating that there is no clear statement on the return of the S-400 air defense system purchased from Russia, Wintour also wrote that if Erdogan is elected, the anti-American attitude will continue.
“ERDOGAN IN THE SHORT TERM…”
While both the Nation Alliance and the People’s Alliance were claimed to have a similar attitude towards Syrians, it was also recalled that Kılıçdaroğlu gave a clear timeline.
The analysis stated that Erdogan could say that in the short term the opposition remained soft on Kurdish terrorism, but also pointed out that Erdogan had been trying to normalize with Assad for more than a year.
“Few people bet against Erdogan, and even if he loses, a coalition led by a politician who has visited Washington twice in the last 10 years has a lot of work to do,” the Guardian article said.