TMMOB: The Fossil Fuel Loving Government Is Determined To Be Wrong
The TMMOB Chamber of Mechanical Engineers discussed the government’s “National Power Plan for Turkey”. In the statement made at the end of the chamber’s review, it was noted that the government was determined to continue its misguided energy policies.
Emphasizing that new nuclear power plants are planned on the basis of reducing carbon dioxide emissions, the statement stated that the government aims to increase the share of nuclear power to 29.3 percent by 2053. .
In the statement, which drew attention to the decrease in production and the increase in idle capacity despite new investments in the energy sector, it was also stated that greenhouse gas emissions did not decrease, on the contrary, they increased .
In the statement it was emphasized that the objectives of the plan will not be a solution to the problems of the people, and that the need and solution lies in public and socialist planning.
Here is the statement released by the TMMOB Chamber of Mechanical Engineers with the signature of President Yunus Yener:
On the last day of 2022, a study covering the period up to 2035, bearing the ambitious name “National Energy Plan of Turkey”, was uploaded to the website of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources.
The assumptions and objectives on which it is based are controversial, and there is not a single word about the strategy, the roadmap and the work to be done to achieve the objectives it envisions.
An amateur study that did not examine investment and operating costs, National
Call and announcement of the Energy Plan, political power and energy management, information
and reveals just how problematic and limited his abilities are.
He prepared and spoke about how our country will achieve its goal of Zero Net Emissions in 2053,
There is no strategy or roadmap discussed, agreed upon, explained. Our country, where the share of fossil fuels in the primary energy supply is 84 percent, does not have a remarkable forecast and plan to reduce the consumption of fossil fuels in the near future.
THE USE OF NUCLEAR ENERGY IMMEDIATELY INCREASES
The configuration, logic and objectives of Turkey’s National Energy Plan 2022, which foresees an unreasonable increase in the use of nuclear energy in electricity generation with the justification of achieving Net Zero CO2 Emission by 2053, are far from solve our country’s energy problem. .
It is obvious that this bogus plan will increase the problems and cause bigger problems. The solution is public planning, democratic socialist and in accordance with the interests of society.
dominate the practices.
While Turkey ratified the Paris Agreement in November 2021, net zero emissions by 2053
He stated that his goal is to reach the threshold. However, the notifications and objectives of Energy Management
It is contradictory and inconsistent.
THE POWER OF PASSION FOR FOSSIL FUELS
Although it is called the National Energy Plan, the study, which is a simple draft, aims to reach 2035.
primary energy and electricity consumption tables for up to five years (2025, 2030 and 2035),
graphics available.
These data, in addition to the AKKUYU Nuclear Power Plant with an installed capacity of 4.8 GW, whose environmental problems and risks it will generate are ignored by the government and which will increase technical, economic and political dependence on foreign affairs, will activate another 2.4 GW nuclear power by 2035. It seems to be planned.
For the year 2053, which had previously been declared a net zero CO2 target, some information was provided, but final values were not given and likely left particularly vague.
50 percent RENEWABLE, 30 percent NUCLEAR BY 2053
In the plan, primary energy consumption is expected to reach 240.6 MTEP (million tons of oil equivalent) in 2053 and the share of renewable resources will be 50 percent, the share of nuclear power will be 29 .3 percent and the share of fossil fuels being 20.8 percent.
Based on this and other similar information from the plan, the Energy Working Group of our Chamber
As a result of the calculation, nuclear power plants (NGS) with a capacity of 42 GW by 2053
seems to be destined.
However, increasing the total installed capacity of the nuclear power plant to 8.8 times that of the AKKUYU nuclear power plant by 2053 and the passion to establish new nuclear power plants across the country may expose our country to major disasters.
INVESTMENT IS MADE, PRODUCTION DECREASES, INSTALLED CAPACITY INCREASES!
In 2022, a new imported coal power plant with an installed capacity of 1.3 GW was commissioned. According to the plan, 1.7 GW of domestic coal-fired power plants will be included in the system by 2030, and another 1.5 GW of installed coal-fired power will be brought into service between 2030 and 2035 (and only 0.7 GW).
GW’s coal-fired power station will be decommissioned.)
Thus, in the period 2023-2035, it is desired to increase the installed capacity based on coal by 11.4 percent, instead of reducing it, by establishing an additional 3.2 GW of coal-fired power plants.
In natural gas electricity generation, until 2030 it still has a license or has applied for it.
It is expected that 2.4 GW of installed capacity will be activated, whose processes are still ongoing, and a total of 10 GW of investment in new natural gas combined cycle plants until 2035, with the argument of “managing the imbalance that can be created by intermittent renewable energy plants in the system and protecting the security of energy supply”. This means a 40 percent increase in the installed capacity of natural gas-fired power plants.
In contrast, in 2035, 56.8 GW of which 24.3 GW are coal and 35.5 GW natural gas.
With the thermal power plant, a production of 173.7 TWh is expected. However, in 2021, thermal power plants
Their total installed power is 46 GW and they produced 214.8 TWh.
By 2035, the installed capacity of onshore wind power plants (RES) will increase annually compared to 2022.
It is intended to reach 24.6 GW with a new facility with a capacity of approximately 1,000 MW. turkey wind
Energy Union (TÜREB) must establish a minimum of 1,500 MW of new capacity each year.
Opinion is not taken into account.
From this rate, only half of onshore RES potential will be utilized by 2035. For offshore RES, the installed capacity target of 5,000 MW over the next 13 years is only six percent of the estimated capacity of 75 -80GW.
Faced with these low objectives in wind power, the projection of increasing the installed capacity of solar power plants (GES) to 52.9 GW (an additional 3,344 MW per year compared to 2022) is a relatively positive element of his plan. On the other hand, the 2035 target for SPP is only one-fifth of potential.
GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ARE NOT DECREASING, THEY ARE INCREASING
Based on the results of TÜİK’s greenhouse gas inventory, the total greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 are compared to the previous year.
It increased 3.1 percent compared to the previous year and was estimated at 523.9 million tons of CO2 equivalent. in november 2022
At the COP27 meeting held in Egypt, it was stated that the amount of greenhouse gas emissions from Turkey by 2030 is 693.
million tons is the goal. So, over the next eight years, emissions
It is not expected to decrease, but to increase by 32.5 percent on the contrary. energy in the National Energy Plan.
There is no CO2 emissions target for its use.
THE OBJECTIVES OF THE PLAN ARE NOT A REMEDY TO THE PROBLEM OF THE PUBLIC
The plan, which has many other shortcomings that we do not mention in this statement, did not examine investment and operating costs and how they would be covered. While electricity production from fossil sources declines, investments in fossil fuel power plants continue and high nuclear power
aiming to ignore the cost of energy to the country and the public.
indicator.
NEED AND SOLUTION: PUBLIC AND SOCIAL PLANNING
The 2022 National Energy Plan does not foresee a change in favor of workers,
it continues its understanding of protecting and developing the interests of capital, not capital. To put an end to the pro-capitalist privatization, commodification, theft and dispossession that has been going on for many years, the anti-worker governments said: “ENOUGH! It is time to say “STOP”.
Now, energy, health, education, transportation, housing, nutrition, etc. public services
democratic understanding of public planning in line with the interests of society
pro-labour socialist policies, institutionalization and
It is time to design and implement the operation.